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Analysis

Assessment of Public Finances

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Financial Stability Assessment

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580 charts

Russia's quarterly export revenues

Russian crude oil exports and average price of Urals crude

Higher interest rates are beginning to bite

Employment rate will decline temporarily

Inflation will slow this year

Insufficient demand has become the primary production bottleneck in manufacturing

Economic growth declined extensively towards the end of the year

Finnish economy in mild recession this year

The Russia economy is on track becoming smaller and less sophisticated than pre-war forcasts suggested

Monthly development of Russia's federal budget

Estimate for the monthly development of Russia's total goods imports and technology imports based on mirror statistics

Russia's financial account

War has driven Ukraine’s GDP down to levels not seen since the year 2000. Future economic trends remain highly uncertain.

Loan growth and BLS correlations have largely diminshed over time

Bank lending conditions and loan growth largely negatively correlated

Demand for investment loans has decreased extensively in 2022

Bank lending conditions precede investment growth

Changes inBLS variables precede changes in confidence in the economy

Correlations between bank lending conditions and GDP have decreased

Correlation with economic growth is the largest at shorts lags