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Analysis

Assessment of Public Finances

Blog

Editorial

Financial Stability Assessment

Forecast

Monetary Policy Review

Simply Short

Topic

Date

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Ending

Issue

1238 charts

Energy and food prices and supply disruptions triggered the surge in euro area inflation

Wage growth in the euro area has mainly been a reaction to consumer price inflation

Protracted inflation in the euro area has been reflected in short-term inflation expectations

Long-term inflation expectations in the euro area have returned close to 2%

Public sector structural deficit in euro area and United States, 2019–2023, % of GDP

Public sector structural deficit in Germany, France, Spain and Italy, 2019–2023, % of GDP

Government debt in major euro area economies, 2003–2023

Interest rate-growth differential in major euro area economies, 1995–2025

Description of the model used

Economy will begin to recover in the second half of the year

Only public consumption and net exports have grown

Inflation will remain moderate

Decline in employment rate will be slight

Crypto-assets' market capitalisation and total value of crypto-assets locked into DeFi protocols

Silvergate Bank's total deposits focus on deposits from crypto-asset sector customers

Market prices of the most commonly traded stablecoins

Ukraine's GDP

Gap between public revenue and expenditure will not be closed

Cyclical situation does not support the consolidation of the public finances

Change in public revenue, % of GDP