Russia’s war in Ukraine threatens to push Finland and the entire euro area economy into recession. Disruptions in energy availability and supply chains may turn out to be more severe than anticipated, and market rates could rise more rapidly than expected.
Latest articles and blogs
In the absence of supply bottlenecks, Finland’s GDP would grow 0.5 of a percentage point faster in 2021. We assume the supply-side disruptions will be smoothed out after 2022, and will not leave long-term scars on the economy.
If households spend the savings accumulated during the pandemic quickly, economic growth could be much stronger than estimated in the forecast for the Finnish economy for 2021–2023.
Abundant construction in the Helsinki metropolitan area has put a brake on apartment prices.
Exports have had a significant indirect impact on employment. The overall drop in employment has, however, remained moderate, as employment has been sustained by domestic demand.