Bank of Finland articles on the economy
- Economic forecast for the Finnish economy
Published 13 Jun 2018
Bank of Finland Bulletin 2/2018 - Financial stability
Published 23 May 2018
pdf, 1.05 MB
Rising household debt poses risk to the economy16 May 2018, Bank of Finland Bulletin 2/2018
The risks relating to high household indebtedness are realised when indebted households respond to the threat of payment difficulties by sharply reducing their consumption.
Continued accommodative monetary policy supports the return of the inflation rate towards the price stability objective27 March 2018, Bank of Finland Bulletin 1/2018
Euro area inflation remains subdued, but confidence in inflation converging towards the ECB's objective has strengthened. Owing to these uncertainties, the conduct of monetary policy in the euro area rests on patience, persistence and prudence.
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The Bank of Finland forecasts that Finland’s GDP will grow 3.1% in 2017, 2.5% in 2018 and 1.5% per annum in 2019–2020. Growth will be broadly based and amplified by exports. A more positive current account will lay a foundation for sustainable growth.
Population ageing will push up public expenditure at the same time as the contraction in the working-age population reins in economic growth. The sustainability will remain around 3% of GDP.
According to a new structural unemployment indicator based on labour market flows developed by the Bank of Finland, unemployment in Finland is currently close to its structural level.
Education and labour market structures are important for decisions on and opportunities of employment particularly for young women and older workers.
Economic decisions increasingly require the support of real-time information. Help can be derived from short-term forecasting models (nowcasting), which are suitable for processing continuously updated data and using it to form an overall picture of the current state of the economy.
Well-educated people typically earn more than those with a lower level of education. Education also improves earnings by enhancing a person’s employment prospects.
Investment growth has been bolstered by e.g. the quickening of domestic demand and construction activity as well as monetary policy. There has been a substantial increase in exports, for example to Germany and China.
During the third quarter of 2017, Finland’s GDP increased by 3%, private consumption by 2.1% and public consumption by 1.8% year on year. Investments increased by 9.3%.
The global economy and world trade continue to grow strongly. In many countries, an expansionary economic policy is supporting growth.
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