Bank of Finland articles on the economy
Bank of Finland Bulletin 5/2020 - Monetary policy and the global economy
Published 17 Sep 2020
pdf, 563 kB
Bank of Finland Bulletin 4/2020 - Monetary policy and the global economy
Published 11 Sep 2020
pdf, 16.0 MB
Monetary policy is supporting economic recovery — but the outlook for employment remains weak17 Sep 2020, Bank of Finland Bulletin 5/2020
Monetary accommodation has opened up space for other economic policies in the euro area, which needs to be put to good use by pursuing economic reforms. Productivity and employment growth ultimately rest on our ability to reform.
Monetary policy implementation in changing times25 Aug 2020, Bank of Finland Bulletin 4/2020
Over the past decade the tools for implementing monetary policy have become ever more diverse. These measures now include refinancing banks at favourable terms and large-scale asset purchases.
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According to the forecast, Finland’s economic growth will be slow and well behind that of the euro area. Foreign trade is not recovering as expected, and growth will continue to depend on domestic demand. There will be no significant improvement in the public finances.
Traditional export sectors still the main pillars of foreign trade. Viewed historically, factors that have usually led to a speedy recovery of exports, are now lacking.
The ageing households spend less of any additional income on consumption than the young. Population ageing may weaken the impact of interest rate changes on the economy.
The international economic situation, Finland’s problems with competitiveness and the uncertainty surrounding economic policy could, according to the forecast’s risk assessment, mean a slower pace of investment and export recovery.
Global economic and trade growth in the immediate future will be slower than previously forecast. The Russian economy is contracting, and in China, too, the pace of growth has slowed.
Immigration will bring about a more favourable age structure, as the vast majority of immigrants are young adults. The impact on the public finances will depend on how successful immigrants are in finding work.
According to the Bank of Finland’s assessment of the country’s public finances, the growth in public debt is a cause for concern. Finland’s long-term outlook for growth is weak, and expenditure is increasing apace.
Since the financial crisis, consumer prices in Finland have been rising faster than in the euro area on average until recent months.
The alternative scenario assesses developments in the Finnish economy if exports turn out to be much weaker than in the forecast baseline.
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