The economic outlook for the euro area has deteriorated rapidly. The impact of Brexit on Europe as a whole is hard to predict. Another factor overshadowing the global economy is the trade dispute between the USA and China.
Funding banks via longer-term refinancing operations has been a key feature of ECB monetary policy in recent years. With the latest of these, the ECB has succeeded in encouraging banks to increase lending to the private sector.
The dominant position of the US dollar exposes other countries to changes in the economy and domestic policies of the United States. As the dollar has no realistic competitors, we cannot foresee any near-term change in its status.
The Bank of Finland has calculated alternative scenarios on the effects of risks to the global economy. In these scenarios, global growth weakens more abruptly than currently forecast.
The summary provides a simple introduction to the assessment of developments in the global economy and monetary policy presented in the March edition of the Bank of Finland Bulletin.
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