There was a shift in the global economic cycle towards slower growth during the first half of 2018. The trade war and Brexit increase the risk of recession.
The Finnish economy will contract by around 7% this year and grow around 3% per annum over the next 2 years. The forecast contains a large degree of uncertainty – the contraction could be only 5% or as much as 11%, depending on how the pandemic develops. See forecast tables for the Finnish economy in 2020–2022 (June 2020).